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The Risks of “Living on Dividends” in Retirement: Why This Popular Strategy May Not Be Right for You

The Risks of “Living on Dividends” in Retirement: Why This Popular Strategy May Not Be Right for You

By
Jake Skelhorn
October 29, 2024

For many retirees, living solely on the dividends generated by their portfolio feels like a safe and stable approach to retirement income. This strategy can provide a sense of security by avoiding the need to sell assets, allowing retirees to hold onto their principal. However, while it may seem like an ideal strategy, living on dividends alone may have hidden costs and risks.

In this article, we’ll explore the drawbacks of a “dividend-only” approach to retirement income and present some alternative strategies to consider for a more balanced and secure retirement.


Why Relying on Dividends Alone Can Be Problematic

Relying solely on dividends may seem appealing, but there are several risks associated with this strategy:

  • Dividend Bias Towards Certain Stocks: High-dividend stocks may not provide adequate diversification.
  • Tax Efficiency Concerns: Dividends can create unexpected tax liabilities.
  • Risk of Underspending: You may unintentionally underspend and miss out on experiences in retirement.

Understanding these risks can help you make more informed decisions about your retirement income strategy.

1. Dividend Bias: Why Seeking High Dividend Yields Can Increase Portfolio Risk

Aiming to live off dividends often leads investors to favor high-dividend-paying investments. The issue? High-dividend stocks are often value-oriented, potentially excluding growth investments, which limits diversification.

Example Scenario

Let’s say you’re invested solely in high-dividend stocks or ETFs. If one of these companies hits financial difficulties and cuts its dividend—a common scenario during economic downturns—you could face a substantial drop in income. Additionally, high-dividend yields can sometimes signal financial distress, meaning the company may be facing financial challenges that could impact its future performance.

In a well-diversified portfolio, a balance of growth and value investments (including bonds) can reduce risk. Growth investments, while not typically dividend-heavy, provide long-term appreciation that balances the income generated by dividend-paying stocks.

Potential Risks of High-Dividend Strategies:

  • Dividend Cuts: Companies can—and do—reduce dividends during hard times, impacting your income.
  • Financial Distress Indicators: A high dividend yield can sometimes indicate that a stock price has dropped due to the company’s financial problems.
  • Lack of Diversification: Focusing only on dividend-paying stocks excludes growth investments, which reduces portfolio diversification.

2. Tax Inefficiency of Dividend-Only Income Strategies

Depending on the type of dividend (qualified or non-qualified), dividends can create tax liabilities that may not be as efficient as capital gains. Qualified dividends are taxed at a lower, long-term capital gains rate, whereas non-qualified dividends are taxed as ordinary income, which can be significantly higher.

Consider the Timing of Dividend Payments

Dividend income also arrives on a predetermined schedule, often quarterly, which doesn’t allow you to control the timing of taxable events. When you sell assets at a capital gain, you have more control over when the taxable event occurs, enabling you to optimize your tax situation. For those still saving for retirement, high-dividend stocks can be especially inefficient since you may face annual taxes on dividends, slowing portfolio growth.

Strategies for Tax Efficiency:

  • Place Dividend Investments in Tax-Advantaged Accounts: Consider holding high-dividend investments in IRAs or Roth IRAs, where you can reinvest dividends without immediate tax consequences.
  • Utilize Growth-Oriented Investments in Taxable Accounts: Growth investments that appreciate over time without regular dividends can be more tax-efficient in taxable accounts.

3. Risk of Underspending: Missing Out on Life Experiences

Aiming to live off dividends alone can lead to underspending, especially in the early years of retirement. Let’s look at a case study to illustrate this risk:

Case Study: Jamie’s Retirement Strategy

Jamie is a 59-year-old retiree with $1 million in retirement savings. Her goal is to live off the 3% dividend yield from her portfolio, providing her $30,000 annually without touching the principal. While this may seem prudent, Jamie’s careful approach could lead her to underspend, potentially resulting in regret later in life.

In Jamie’s case, a retirement analysis showed she had a 100% probability of success in her current approach, meaning she was unlikely to run out of money. However, the analysis also revealed that she could end her life with twice the amount she started with—$2 million. This excess may indicate missed opportunities for travel, hobbies, and experiences in her more active retirement years.

Key Takeaways:

  • Evaluate Your Spending in Early Retirement: Consider balancing your spending to enjoy more experiences in your earlier, more active retirement years.
  • Legacy vs. Lifestyle Goals: If you have a specific inheritance goal, ensure it’s intentional. Avoid leaving a large amount behind unintentionally, only to regret missed experiences.

Alternative Approaches to Living Off Dividends in Retirement

Rather than focusing solely on dividends, here are some alternative strategies that can offer a more balanced approach to retirement income.

1. Diversified Portfolio Approach

To avoid the risks associated with high-dividend bias, maintain a diversified portfolio that balances growth and income. Here are some steps to consider:

  • Include Both Growth and Value Stocks: Growth stocks, while not dividend-heavy, provide capital appreciation that can help balance your portfolio.
  • Add Bonds for Stability: Bonds can provide stable income while reducing portfolio volatility, allowing you to withstand market fluctuations.

2. Tax-Efficient Asset Allocation

For those still accumulating wealth or transitioning into retirement, strategically placing investments in different types of accounts can improve tax efficiency.

  • Use Tax-Advantaged Accounts for Dividends: Place dividend-paying investments in IRAs or Roth IRAs to defer or eliminate taxes on dividends.
  • Growth Investments in Taxable Accounts: Allocate growth stocks and other tax-efficient investments to taxable accounts for fewer tax liabilities over time.

3. Total Return Strategy

A total return strategy can provide flexibility by allowing you to sell assets as needed rather than relying solely on dividends. This strategy lets you generate income from both capital gains and dividends, which can offer better control over tax liabilities.

  • Sell Assets for Tax Optimization: Selling assets strategically enables you to realize capital gains when it’s most tax-efficient.
  • Use Capital Gains and Dividends Together: Combining capital gains with dividends can provide a more stable income stream, even in fluctuating markets.

4. Retirement Income Guardrails

Retirement income guardrails set flexible spending rules, allowing you to adjust income up or down based on portfolio performance. Guardrails enable retirees to increase their income in good years and cut back during economic downturns, helping to avoid the pitfalls of overspending or underspending.

  • Adjust Spending Based on Portfolio Performance: Guardrails provide guidance on increasing or reducing income depending on how well your portfolio performs.
  • Enjoy More Flexibility in Early Retirement: This approach helps avoid leaving a large, unintended inheritance and encourages a lifestyle that makes the most of your early retirement years.

Final Thoughts on Dividend-Only Retirement Strategies

While living solely on dividends can be appealing, it has limitations that may impact your long-term financial health. From potential tax inefficiencies to underspending risks and lack of diversification, the drawbacks of a dividend-only strategy can hinder a fulfilling retirement.

A balanced approach—one that includes a diversified portfolio, tax-efficient allocation, and flexible spending guardrails—can provide a more robust and adaptable retirement income strategy. This approach allows you to enjoy a comfortable retirement without the financial stress of outliving your assets.

If you’re interested in learning more about retirement income strategies, reach out to us at Spark Wealth Advisors for personalized guidance. And for more insights on retirement planning, subscribe to our channel.

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